2.3 Probability Distributions
Translating Word to Symbols
- Use each of the following phrases in a sentence and translate into math symbols.
- At most
Sentence:
Math symbols:
- No more than
Sentence:
Math symbols:
- Fewer than
Sentence:
Math symbols:
- Is exactly
Sentence:
Math symbols:
- Is not
Sentence:
Math symbols:
- At least
Sentence:
Math symbols:
- At most
- In the world, 10% of people are left-handed. Fifty people are randomly selected, translate the following into probability statements.
Words Probability Statement Probability of at least 21 out of 50 \(P(x \geq 21)\)
Probability of less than 5 out of 50 \(P(x<5)\)
Probability of no more than 9 out of 50 \(P(x \leq 9)\)
Probability of more than 3 out of 50 \(P(x>3)\)
Probability of at least 2 out of 50 \(P(x \geq 2)\)
Probability of 6 out of 50 \(P(x=6)\)
Probability of less than 4 out of 50 \(P(x<4)\)
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Human blood comes in different types. Each person has a specific ABO type (A, B, AB, or O) and Rh factor (positive or negative). Hence, if you are O+, your ABO type is O and your Rh factor is positive. A probability model for blood types in the United States is given:
Blood Type A+ A- B+ B- AB+ AB- O+ O- Probability 0.357 0.063 0.085 0.015 0.034 0.006 0.374 0.066 - \(\sum P(x)=1\): the sum of the probabilities must equal 1.
- \(0 \leq P(x) \leq 1\): all the probabilities are less than 1 and positive.
- Does this problem meet all the requirements for a probability distribution? Explain how you know.
Yes - What is the probability that a randomly chosen person has blood type A?
- What is the probability that two randomly chosen U.S. residents both have type A blood?
- What is the probability that two U.S. residents are randomly chosen and neither has Type A blood?
\((0.58)(0.58)=0.3364\)
- What is the probability that at least one of the two people has type A blood?
In a probability distribution,
\(P(A+\text { or } A-)=P(A+)+P(A-)=0.357+0.063=0.420\)
Hence, roughly 42% of residents in the U.S. have ABO-type A blood.
\(\text { P(Person 1 is type A and Person 2 is type A) = }(0.420)(0.420)=0.1764\)
Hence, there is roughly an 18% chance that two randomly selected U.S. residents will both have type A blood.
\( \text {P(at least one has A)}=1-P(\text { neither A } )=1-0.3364=0.6636\)
You must be at least 18 years old to vote in Tennessee. If we let A represent your age, in order to vote, \(A\;\geq\;18\).
(The symbol 0+ denotes a positive probability value that is very small. We are not willing to say this is an impossible event. Use P(x=6) = 0 in your calculations.)
x values | Probability P(x) |
---|---|
1 | .02 |
2 | .13 |
3 | .32 |
4 | .39 |
5 | .14 |
6 | 0+ |
- Does this satisfy both rules for probabiliy distributions?
Yes. \({\textstyle\sum_{}^{}}P(x)=1\) and \(0 < P(x) < 1\)
- If one account is randomly selected, find the following probabilities for the number of phones associated with the account:
- Probability of exactly 3 phones:
P(x = 3) = .32
- Probability of 4 or more phones:
P(x ≥ 4) = P(x = 4) + P(x = 5) + P(x = 6) = .39 + .14 + 0 = .53
- Probability of at least 2 phones:
P(x ≥ 2) = P(x = 2) + P(x = 3) + P(x = 4) + P(x = 5) + P(x = 6) = .13 + .32 + .39 + .14 + 0 = .98
Or use the complement rule: 1 – P(x = 1) = 1 - .02 = .98
- Probability of at most 3 phones:
P(x ≤ 3) = .02 + .13 + .32 = .47
- Probability of no more than 2 phones:
P(x ≤ 2) = .02 + .13 = .15
- Probability of between 2 and 5 phones:
P(2 < x < 5) = P(x = 3) + P(x = 4) = .32 + .39 = .71
- Probability of between 2 and 5 phones, inclusive:
P(2 ≤ x ≤ 5) = P(x = 2) + P(x = 3) + P(x = 4) + P(x = 5) = .13 + .32 + .39 + .14 = .98
- Probability of exactly 3 phones:
- MEAN (EXPECTED VALUE): \(\mu=E(x)=\sum[x * P(x)]\)
\(\mu=[1 * .02]+[2 * .13]+[3 * .32]+[4 * .39]+[5 * .14]+[6 * 0]=3.5\)
- STANDARD DEVIATION:
\(\sigma=\sqrt{\sigma^{2}}=\sqrt{.91}=.95\)
- UNUSUAL VALUES:
Min usual value: \(\mu-2 \sigma = \)
\(3.5-2(.95)=1.6\) Max usual value: \(\mu+2 \sigma = \)
\(3.5+2(.95)=5.4\) Would selecting an account with 1 phone be unusual?
Yes, 1 is less than the min usual value. Would selecting an account with 2 phones be unusual?
No, 2 is within the usual range. Would selecting an account with 5 phones be unusual?
No, 5 is within the usual range.
y | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
p(y) | 0.15 | 0.23 |
0.19 | 0.23 | 0.12 | 0.05 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
- What is the probability that a randomly selected family will consist of exactly two people?
\(P(y = 2)=1-0.15-0.19-0.23-0.12-0.05-0.02-0.01=0.23\)
\(P(y \geq 2)=1-P(y\lt2)=1-p(1)=0.85\)
\(\mathrm{P}(2 \leq \mathrm{y} \leq 4)=\mathrm{P}(\mathrm{y}=2 \text { or } \mathrm{y}=3 \text { or } \mathrm{y}=4)=\mathrm{p}(2)+\mathrm{p}(3)+\mathrm{p}(4)=0.65\)
\(\mu=3.22\)
\(\sigma \approx \sqrt{2.512} \approx 1.58\)
\(\text { The minimum usual value is } \mu-2 \sigma=3.22-2(1.58) \text { which is } 0.06\)
\(\text { The maximum usual value is } \mu+2 \sigma=3.22+2(1.58) \text { which is } 6.38.\)
So, yes families with 7 or 8 members are unusual.